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Oil prices soar, approaching a new conflict high, putting pressure on large-scale equipment shipping and logistics

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On the evening of March 29th Eastern Time, due to the continued tension in the Middle East, international oil prices rose sharply in the new week of trading. New York crude oil futures rose to $103 per barrel, and London Brent crude oil futures broke through $116 per barrel during trading, approaching the highest record since the outbreak of the Middle East conflict. The high rise in oil prices has directly impacted the global shipping fuel costs, coupled with concerns about the passage of waterways. The ocean transportation of large engineering equipment such as rotary drilling rigs and pile drivers is once again facing multiple pressures in terms of cost, timeliness, and capacity, forcing the industry's recovery pace to slow down.

Fuel costs have significantly increased, and equipment transportation costs continue to rise

The Brent crude oil price has surged to its highest level since the conflict, directly pushing up shipping fuel costs and causing logistics expenses for heavy-duty equipment such as rotary drilling rigs and pile drivers to rise again. This type of large-scale equipment relies on heavy lift ships and semi submersible ships for ocean transportation, with fuel expenses accounting for more than 30% of the total transportation cost. Oil prices are approaching historical highs, driving the prices of marine diesel and heavy oil to rise synchronously. Several shipping giants have raised or planned to add emergency fuel surcharges, resulting in a significant increase in fuel related costs for single large equipment transported across oceans, further squeezing the profit margins of logistics companies and equipment exporters. The cost buffer brought about by the expected ceasefire has been greatly offset.

The aviation movement continues to fluctuate, and the transportation efficiency of equipment remains unstable

Despite the expected ceasefire between the US and Iran, the situation in the Middle East has not substantially eased, oil prices are high, and global shipping efficiency has not yet returned to normal. In order to control fuel consumption, some shipping companies continue to adopt the strategy of slowing down navigation, coupled with some merchant ships still concerned about the risks of passage through the Strait of Hormuz and have not fully returned to the main waterway. The transportation cycle of rotary drilling rigs and pile drivers is still relatively long. At the same time, the rise in oil prices has led to an increase in the cost of ship fuel supply, a slowdown in scheduling pace, and difficulty in improving the on-time delivery rate of equipment transportation, which cannot fully match the construction and entry needs of overseas infrastructure projects. The risk of delay and default has not been eliminated.

Tightening of transportation capacity supply and extended booking schedule for large equipment

The high oil prices have compressed the profit margins of shipping companies, and the dedicated transportation capacity for large equipment has once again tightened. Faced with the pressure of rising fuel costs, some shipping companies have temporarily suspended the release of idle heavy-duty capacity, and even slightly reduced the frequency of high fuel consumption routes. The dedicated cabins for oversized equipment such as rotary drilling rigs and pile drivers are becoming increasingly scarce. The previously slightly alleviated problems of booking difficulties and long waiting times have once again become prominent, and the waiting period for equipment transportation has been extended, which has constrained the cross-border circulation efficiency of global infrastructure equipment.

Port congestion has not been completely resolved, and equipment demurrage costs remain high

The rise in oil prices coupled with low shipping turnover efficiency, the congestion pressure at transit hubs such as Port Klang and Navasheva has not been completely relieved, and the cost of large equipment demurrage remains high. Rotary drilling rigs, pile drivers and other equipment have large volumes and high storage requirements. During the detention period, not only do they incur high storage costs, but there is also a risk of component corrosion, collision and loss. The rise in oil prices has led to an increase in energy consumption costs for port operations, slow improvement in port loading and unloading, and connection efficiency, further prolonging equipment stay time in the port and pushing up hidden logistics costs.

The situation is intensifying, and industry operations are becoming more cautious

The expectation of a ceasefire between the US and Iran and the surge in oil prices have formed a game, and the situation in the Middle East is still uncertain. The operation of the large-scale equipment shipping and logistics industry is becoming increasingly conservative. Logistics companies generally postpone adjusting their transportation plans and continue to retain alternative detours. At the same time, they hedge against the pressure of rising oil prices by locking in long-term fuel contracts, optimizing equipment modular split transportation, and increasing vehicle and vessel load rates. The industry as a whole adheres to a stable operational approach, strictly controls cost expenditures, and waits for the geopolitical situation to become clear and oil prices to stabilize before comprehensively optimizing transportation capacity and route layout.

Anhui Yingxie Foundation Engineering Co., Ltd. is a leading exporter of construction machinery in China.

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