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Five European countries call for energy profit tax, global shipping and logistics of large equipment face cost adjustment

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The finance ministers of Germany, Italy, Spain, Portugal, and Austria have jointly called for the imposition of a special profit tax on energy companies to cope with the soaring fuel prices caused by the Middle East conflict and alleviate cost pressures on both the public and businesses. As an important measure taken by Europe to address the energy crisis, this move aims to stabilize fuel prices and share cost pressures. However, it will also have a multidimensional impact on the transportation and logistics of large equipment such as rotary drilling rigs and pile drivers in global shipping through pathways such as energy price transmission and shipping market adjustments, forcing the industry to optimize operational strategies to cope with changes.

Expected cooling of fuel prices, marginal easing of shipping cost pressure for large equipment

The core goal of the five countries' call for the imposition of an energy profit tax is to curb the excess profits obtained by energy companies due to the Middle East conflict, indirectly stabilizing the continuously rising fuel prices, which will bring positive expectations of cost relief for large-scale equipment shipping and logistics. Fuel costs account for 30% -50% of the total shipping cost of large equipment, especially for special ships transporting overweight and oversized equipment such as rotary drilling rigs and pile drivers. Fuel expenses are a core component of operating costs. Previously, the Middle East conflict led to a significant increase in Brent crude oil and European benchmark TTF natural gas prices, with low sulfur fuel prices skyrocketing by nearly 76% in half a month, directly pushing up fuel surcharges for shipping companies and adding tens of thousands of yuan to the cost of transporting fuel across oceans for a single rotary drilling rig. If the joint appeal of the five countries is implemented, it will effectively curb the irrational rise of energy prices, alleviate the pressure of fuel costs on shipping companies, and further reduce the comprehensive cost of cross-border transportation of equipment such as rotary drilling rigs and pile drivers, leaving room for industry profitability.

The expected differentiation of the shipping market and the phased adjustment of capacity allocation

The call for an energy profit tax has triggered a divergence of expectations in the shipping market, directly affecting the pace of capacity allocation for large-scale equipment transportation. On the one hand, some shipping companies are gradually releasing their previously contracted heavy load capacity based on the expectation of cooling fuel prices, especially heavy lift ships and semi submersible ships that are suitable for transporting rotary drilling rigs and pile drivers. The tight supply of capacity is expected to be alleviated. On the other hand, due to the fact that the profit tax has not yet been officially implemented, energy prices are still fluctuating at a high level, and the geopolitical risks brought by the Middle East conflict have not been eliminated, most shipping companies still maintain a cautious attitude, do not blindly expand their capacity investment, and even continue to maintain route detour strategies to avoid risks. This expected differentiation has led to intensified fluctuations in cabin prices for the transportation of large equipment, and the booking costs for equipment such as rotary drilling rigs have shown periodic fluctuations, posing challenges to the logistics budget planning of export enterprises.

Optimization of logistics costs in the European region and expected improvement in equipment import clearance efficiency

As initiators of the call, all five European countries are important import markets for large equipment, and the implementation of the windfall tax will directly optimize logistics costs and customs clearance environment within the European region. The export of large equipment such as rotary drilling rigs and pile drivers to Europe requires multiple logistics cycles. The decrease in fuel prices will directly reduce the supporting logistics costs such as land transportation and port loading and unloading within Europe. Taking a medium-sized rotary drilling rig transported from a European port to an inland construction site as an example, fuel costs account for about 30% of road freight costs. After fuel prices stabilize, the cost of a single land transportation can be reduced by 15% -20%. At the same time, one of the core purposes of the five countries' collection of profit tax is to reduce the burden on enterprises. It is expected to optimize the import customs clearance process of large engineering equipment, simplify inspection and quarantine procedures, reduce unnecessary charges, shorten the detention time of rotary drilling rigs and other equipment in European ports, and improve the logistics turnover efficiency in the region.

Long term compliance costs rise, forcing logistics companies to optimize their operational models

Although the windfall tax is expected to alleviate short-term fuel cost pressures, in the long run, it will drive up compliance costs for shipping companies, which will then be transmitted to the transportation of large equipment. Energy companies may shift costs through adjusting fuel supply prices, compressing supply scale, and other means after being subject to high profit tax, indirectly putting pressure on the long-term operating costs of shipping companies. To cope with this situation, logistics companies are forced to optimize their operating models by signing long-term fuel contracts, optimizing route design, and increasing ship load rates to lock in costs and improve efficiency. For large equipment such as rotary drilling rigs and pile drivers, some logistics companies have begun to implement modular split transportation to reduce individual weight and volume, lower transportation energy consumption and costs, and further dilute compliance and operating costs through bulk transportation and signing long-term cooperation agreements with export companies.

Global supply chain linkage adjustment brings optimization opportunities for equipment export layout

The call of the five European countries is not an isolated measure. Behind it is the demand for supply chain restructuring under the global energy crisis, which also brings optimization opportunities for the global export logistics layout of large equipment such as rotary drilling rigs. As logistics costs in the European region gradually stabilize, large equipment exporting countries such as China and Japan can further cultivate the European market, optimize logistics layout, such as establishing equipment distribution centers in the core areas of Europe, shorten transportation radius, and reduce transit costs. At the same time, the promotion of the windfall tax will promote the formation of a more reasonable pricing mechanism for global energy prices, reduce the impact of price fluctuations on large-scale equipment shipping logistics, and help export enterprises better plan logistics plans and lock in order profits. In addition, logistics companies can rely on multimodal transport systems, combined with China Europe freight trains and European inland logistics networks, to build more stable large-scale equipment transportation channels and enhance supply chain resilience.

Anhui Yingxie Foundation Engineering Co., Ltd. is a leading exporter of construction machinery in China.

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