1. Market Overview and Structural Changes in Demand
The global mobile crane market is undergoing restructuring in 2025. As the core growth engine, China's market scale is expected to reach 85 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 7.1% from 2025 to 2030, while the global market is likely to exceed 22 billion US dollars, with the Asia-Pacific region leading all regions with a growth rate of 6%-8%. The core driving force for market growth has shifted from traditional infrastructure expansion to amulti-engine model of "policy guidance + technological iteration + market upgrading", with significant structural changes in demand.
Emerging demand driven by energy transition has become a key growth driver. The accelerated construction of new energy sectors such as wind power and nuclear power has boosted the demand for large-tonnage cranes (200-ton class and above) by 35%. Super projects like the Sichuan-Tibet Railway and Baihetan Hydropower Station have triggered a boom in procurement of ultra-large equipment (800-ton class and above). In 2024, the contract value of ultra-large equipment in western China already accounted for 38% of the national total. Under the "dual carbon" goal, demand for green equipment has grown explosively: the penetration rate of new energy cranes has risen from 12% in 2023 to over 25% in 2025, with pure electric models reaching 22.3% penetration in pilot cities like Shenzhen and Xiong'an, reducing operating energy consumption by 60% compared to traditional fuel models.
Equipment renewal and model innovation are restructuring the market. Over 30% of China's 450,000 cranes in service are over 10 years old, creating an annual replacement demand of 32,000 units. Combined with the demand from new urbanization-driven urban agglomeration construction, this forms stable rigid demand. Meanwhile, the popularization of leasing models is transforming the market from "equipment sales" to "service operation". The online leasing rate of equipment is expected to reach 60% in 2025, and intelligent models command an 18% leasing premium due to 30% higher operating efficiency and 20% lower maintenance costs. Regional demand shows a pattern of "strong east, rising central, expanding west": Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shandong and Guangdong contribute 42.7% of the market, while clusters with intensive "new infrastructure, new urbanization and major projects" like Chengdu-Chongqing and the middle Yangtze River urban agglomerations are becoming new growth poles.
2. Strategic Layout of Leading Enterprises and Competitive Pattern
The global market competition presents a pattern of "dominance by Chinese leaders and differentiated competition by international brands". China's top three leaders - XCMG, Sany Heavy Industry and Zoomlion - hold a combined 68% market share, with CR5 enterprises reaching 76%, indicating increasing industry concentration.
Technological breakthroughs focusing on green intelligence are the core strategy of leading enterprises. XCMG has built the world's largest crane R&D base in Xuzhou with a capacity of 28,000 units, and developed battery-swapping products with CATL, tripling charging efficiency. Sany Heavy Industry's Changsha industrial park increased production efficiency by 40% after intelligent transformation, launching smart cranes with remote monitoring and automatic operation. Zoomlion's Wuhu base specializes in offshore wind power equipment, planning to launch 1,600-ton deep-sea operation models in 2024. International brands are also accelerating technological deployment: Liebherr excels in intelligent control technology, while Terex-Demag advances electric product lines to maintain advantages in the high-end market.
Deepening global layout for regional penetration has become the second growth curve. Chinese leaders break trade barriers through localized production: Sany's Indian factory expanded capacity to 800 units/year, and Zoomlion plans to build a regional maintenance center in Saudi Arabia, shortening overseas service response time to 72 hours. China's mobile crane exports surged 48% year-on-year in 2023, with Southeast Asia, the Middle East and Africa accounting for 63% of total exports, and exports of 100-ton plus large-tonnage products growing 4.3 times. International brands focus on high-end niches: Caterpillar consolidates the North American market with supply chain advantages, while Liebherr strengthens technological premium in European new energy projects.
Full-life cycle service system construction has become the key to differentiated competition. Leading enterprises are building "product + service + data" ecosystems: XCMG launched a full-life cycle management platform for predictive maintenance; Sany built a digital leasing network integrating online dispatching and maintenance; Zoomlion established a global parts supply chain to ensure overseas maintenance efficiency. SMEs focus on special models for mountainous or extreme cold environments, holding 15% of the niche market to form a complementary pattern.
3. Future Trends and Challenges
After 2025, the industry will present a three-dimensional development pattern: "high-end products dominating domestic market, intelligent services exploring overseas market, and green technology reconstructing ecology". Technologically, the penetration rate of 5G remote control and intelligent obstacle avoidance will rise to 45%, with operation accuracy controlled within ±0.5°, and cutting-edge power technologies like hydrogen fuel cells are expected to achieve commercial breakthroughs. Market-wise, new energy products will reach 40% penetration by 2030, after-sales markets like maintenance will exceed 30 billion yuan, and exports will account for over 40%.
However, the industry faces multiple challenges: fluctuations in raw material prices like steel have compressed profit margins, with the industry average profit margin dropping 2.7 percentage points in 2022; R&D investment intensity has risen to 5.2%, bringing capital expenditure pressure from digital transformation; global supply chain restructuring and trade barriers increase internationalization difficulties. For enterprises, only by continuously deepening green intelligent technology, improving global service networks, and deploying after-sales ecosystems can they gain advantages in the industry consolidation that will see market concentration rise to 75% by 2030.